Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Overview

According to Alph.ai prediction markets, "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?" has a 14.5% probability of happening.

• Current probability :
  • YES 14.5%
  • NO 85.5%
• Market volume : $395.73K

Last updated : 2026-08-03T10:43:34.062Z