Fedrate Prediction Markets

Track Fedrate predictions, probabilities and future market scenarios powered by Alph.ai. Analyze probabilities and trade prediction outcomes

Fedrate Prediction Markets

Fed Decision in October?

No change
83%
25 bps increase
18%
Volume$24.73MLiquidity$3.19MWhale Wallet2

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)
96%
1 (25 bps)
2%
Volume$53.85MLiquidity$4.22MSmart Wallet1

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase
74%
No change
24%
Volume$2.59MLiquidity$820.84K

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

73%/Yes
28%/No
Volume$521.65KLiquidity$120.61K

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike
62%
Hike–Pause–Pause
23%
Volume$228.53KLiquidity$286.73KWhale Wallet2

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause
49%
Pause-Hike-Hike
20%
Volume$17.22KLiquidity$35.61K

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting
50%
April 2027 Meeting
30%
Volume$3.74MLiquidity$241.79K

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%
17%
Below 4.6%
11%
Volume$343.18KLiquidity$116.98K

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50%
19%
Below 4.45%
13%
Volume$72.56KLiquidity$59.22K

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

15%/Yes
85%/No
Volume$459.63KLiquidity$6.58K

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 4.95%
63%
Below 4.92%
59%
Volume$7.05KLiquidity$3.93K

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.10%
81%
5.25%
43%
Volume$62.21KLiquidity$4.86K