Politics Prediction Markets

Track Politics predictions, probabilities and future market scenarios powered by Alph.ai. Analyze probabilities and trade prediction outcomes

Politics Prediction Markets

Fed Decision in September?

No change
61%
25 bps increase
37%
Volume$26.68MLiquidity$2.48M

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

David Crowley
82%
Francesca Hong
17%
Volume$2.28MLiquidity$519.08K

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 31
80%
October 31
73%
Volume$12.43MLiquidity$830.37K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

August 31
4%
August 15
<1%
Volume$18.14MLiquidity$1.41M

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed
95%
Gedion Timothewos
2%
Volume$273.99MLiquidity$140.13K

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

22%/Yes
79%/No
Volume$6.51MLiquidity$366.06K

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?

140-159
41%
160-179
33%
Volume$1.35MLiquidity$768.92K

South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner

Darline Graham Nordone
72%
Ralph Norman
28%
Volume$1.43MLiquidity$451.57K

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

19%/Yes
82%/No
Volume$58.33MLiquidity$961.44K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

16%/Yes
85%/No
Volume$3MLiquidity$427.46K

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
64%
Flávio Bolsonaro
27%
Volume$122.23MLiquidity$9.82MSmart Wallet2Whale Wallet1

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom
18%
Jon Ossoff
16%
Volume$1.26BLiquidity$78.91MSmart Wallet1Whale Wallet3