Politics Prediction Markets

Track Politics predictions, probabilities and future market scenarios powered by Alph.ai. Analyze probabilities and trade prediction outcomes

Politics Prediction Markets

Fed Decision in September?

No change
50%
25 bps increase
50%
Volume$98.4MLiquidity$6.62MWhale Wallet1

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen
36%
Édouard Philippe
27%
Volume$127.5MLiquidity$16.38M

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

June 30, 2027
58%
March 31, 2027
47%
Volume$7.25MLiquidity$356.37K

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance
50%
Marco Rubio
20%
Volume$699.54MLiquidity$55.66MSmart Wallet1Whale Wallet4

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
20%
Jon Ossoff
16%
Volume$1.27BLiquidity$80.5MSmart Wallet1Whale Wallet3

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?

70%/Yes
31%/No
Volume$28.67MLiquidity$104.13KWhale Wallet1

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 31
59%
October 31
35%
Volume$25.89MLiquidity$750.56K

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027
25%
December 31
14%
Volume$25.02MLiquidity$522.52K

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
56%
Flávio Bolsonaro
40%
Volume$143.84MLiquidity$16.23MSmart Wallet4Whale Wallet1

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance
25%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Volume$702.52MLiquidity$61.32MSmart Wallet5Whale Wallet9

Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?

220-239
32%
240-259
27%
Volume$966.82KLiquidity$372.93K

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 31
14%
October 31
9%
Volume$1.71MLiquidity$346.69K