Politics Prediction Markets

Track Politics predictions, probabilities and future market scenarios powered by Alph.ai. Analyze probabilities and trade prediction outcomes

Politics Prediction Markets

Fed Decision in October?

No change
95%
25 bps increase
6%
Volume$56.84MLiquidity$6.89MWhale Wallet3

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep
69%
R Senate, D House
24%
Volume$30.36MLiquidity$12.08MWhale Wallet3

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 22
98%
October 24
91%
Volume$22.43MLiquidity$516.89K

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance
44%
Marco Rubio
15%
Volume$715.82MLiquidity$50.21MSmart Wallet1Whale Wallet4

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro
78%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
23%
Volume$191.83MLiquidity$1.04MSmart Wallet4Whale Wallet2

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot
49%
Benjamin Netanyahu
30%
Volume$51.22MLiquidity$3.83MWhale Wallet3

Which party will win the House in 2026?

House control favorite on November 2?
99%
Democratic Party
93%
Volume$20.5MLiquidity$7.78MWhale Wallet6

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen
46%
Édouard Philippe
19%
Volume$155.5MLiquidity$19.39M

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

280-299
56%
260-279
19%
Volume$2.55MLiquidity$256.4K

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?
97%
James Talarico (D)
68%
Volume$5.57MLiquidity$1.04MWhale Wallet2

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
17%
Jon Ossoff
15%
Volume$1.3BLiquidity$75.22MSmart Wallet1Whale Wallet3

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
41%
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%
33%
Volume$4.43MLiquidity$940.4K