Congress Prediction Markets

Track Congress predictions, probabilities and future market scenarios powered by Alph.ai. Analyze probabilities and trade prediction outcomes

Congress Prediction Markets

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party
53%
Republican Party
49%
Volume$4.24MLiquidity$437.54KWhale Wallet2

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47
30%
48
16%
Volume$2.89MLiquidity$289.45K

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Andy Kim
47%
Rand Paul
45%
Volume$66.84KLiquidity$26.94K

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

17%/Yes
84%/No
Volume$1.59MLiquidity$34.87K

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 55
48%
Above 64
42%
Volume$17.09KLiquidity$25.67K

Which bills will become law in 2026?

AI-chip export licensing
74%
Export-control chip security
27%
Volume$163.54KLiquidity$61.2K

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries
74%
Mike Johnson
11%
Volume$3.8KLiquidity$45.87K

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%
28%
Democrats 6-8%
23%
Volume$132.5KLiquidity$206.95K

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

15%/Yes
85%/No
Volume$808.7Liquidity$223.68

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

125-130m
23%
115-120m
21%
Volume$28.18KLiquidity$127.47K

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-12
82%
13-15
18%
Volume$51.22KLiquidity$36.85K

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

24%/Yes
76%/No
Volume$7.03KLiquidity$430.07