Congress Prediction Markets

Track Congress predictions, probabilities and future market scenarios powered by Alph.ai. Analyze probabilities and trade prediction outcomes

Congress Prediction Markets

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

20%/Yes
81%/No
Volume$1.14MLiquidity$63.75K

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

27%/Yes
73%/No
Volume$14.86KLiquidity$3.43K

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab
85%
Melissa Hernandez
15%
Volume$27.17KLiquidity$82.73K

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Jacky Rosen
56%
Rand Paul
50%
Volume$44.32KLiquidity$27.14K

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party
53%
Republican Party
48%
Volume$3.87MLiquidity$300.82KWhale Wallet3

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Export-control chip security
55%
AI-chip export licensing
51%
Volume$154.38KLiquidity$28.3K

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47
26%
51
15%
Volume$2.82MLiquidity$261.28K

Blue wave in 2026?

81%/Yes
20%/No
Volume$53.32KLiquidity$669.02

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-12
46%
13-15
24%
Volume$23.51KLiquidity$27.85K

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

3
81%
4
10%
Volume$54.45KLiquidity$41.36K

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

120-125m
27%
115-120m
22%
Volume$23.24KLiquidity$98.13K

Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?

20%/Yes
80%/No
Volume$32.04KLiquidity$10.18K