Politics Others Prediction Markets

Track Politics Others predictions, probabilities and future market scenarios powered by Alph.ai. Analyze probabilities and trade prediction outcomes

Politics Others Prediction Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

August 31
1%
August 15
<1%
Volume$21.28MLiquidity$2.99M

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?

160-179
39%
180-199
38%
Volume$1.56MLiquidity$691.24K

Fed Decision in September?

No change
75%
25 bps increase
25%
Volume$34.13MLiquidity$3.42M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

12%/Yes
89%/No
Volume$3.59MLiquidity$446.7K

Elon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?

40-64
56%
<40
41%
Volume$248.69KLiquidity$167.1K

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

160-179
25%
140-159
24%
Volume$704.01KLiquidity$916.4K

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027
13%
December 31, 2026
8%
Volume$20.77MLiquidity$1.01MSmart Wallet1

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027
26%
December 31
17%
Volume$23.59MLiquidity$643.15K

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

3%/Yes
97%/No
Volume$27.11MLiquidity$201.91KWhale Wallet2

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

9%/Yes
92%/No
Volume$1.87MLiquidity$75.33K

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei
82%
No Head of State
5%
Volume$38.62MLiquidity$3.25M

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

December 31
22%
October 31
16%
Volume$348.49KLiquidity$63.57K